Welcome!

iPhone Authors: David H Deans, Carmen Gonzalez, Liz McMillan, Pat Romanski, Elizabeth White

News Feed Item

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

NEW YORK, Jan. 16, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

http://www.reportlinker.com/p01083638/Future-of-Communication-2020---Tel...

Communication being ubiquitious and IP-based solutions taking increasingly a bigger part in it, this market still remains essential despite decreasing revenues.

This report provides analyses on quantitative changes until 2020, in terms of usages and revenues. It also describes the latest trends, the re-positioning of telcos in an OTT world.

Key Questions

• What will be the key trends in communication by 2020? Will the total revenue pie of communication shrink or grow?

• How are telco margins evolving for communication? Simple substitution from fixed to mobile or revenue loss?

• In terms of usages, how will communication services evolve until 2020? What about OTT VoIP & SMS?

• What are the impacts of new technologies such as WebRTC or RCSe?

• Can telcos recover their territory from OTT players? Moreover, how much territory are they really losing, if any?

Contents

1. Executive Summary . 7

1.1. The six key trends shaping the market 81.2. Key developments in usage of communication services 91.3. The quantification of the communication market . 10

2. Methodology 12

3. Communication 2020 in figures 14

3.1. Key usage developments by 2020 14

3.1.1. Mobile users still much more dominant than OTT VoIP users 14

3.1.2. Messaging users of both telcos and OTTs expected to grow 15

3.1.3. Number of SMS sent still set to grow, but OTT messages are rapidly catching up16

3.2. The quantification of communication revenue by 2020 . 18

3.2.1. Overall communication services market expected to see very slight decline over

eight years from 2012 to 2020 18

3.2.2. Increase in mobile communication revenues cannot compensate for the decline in

fixed communication revenues . 20

3.2.3. Increase in telco messaging revenues cannot compensate for the decline in telco

voice revenues . 24

3.2.4. OTT communication revenues cannot compensate for decline in telco

communication revenues . 28

4. The six key trends in communication . 32

4.1. The aggregation of communication types 32

4.1.1. Introduction . 32

4.1.2. Facebook . 32

4.1.3. Google 34

4.1.4. WhatsApp 35

4.1.5. Apple . 35

4.1.6. Operators . 36

4.2. Beyond traditional communication for telcos 37

4.2.1. Introduction . 37

4.2.2. Operators providing their own OTT service 37

4.2.3. Partnerships between OTT and operators 39

4.2.4. joyn (RCSe) 40

4.3. Voice and messaging becoming a telco commodity 43

4.3.1. Introduction . 43

4.3.2. Mobile voice and messaging offered in abundance 43

4.3.3. Fixed voice and Internet access also unlimited 44

4.3.4. Bundling it all for an even cheaper experience . 45

4.4. Mobile data and WiFi makes strong case for OTTs 46

4.4.1. Introduction . 46

4.4.2. Unlimited mobile data still rare 46

4.4.3. WiFi over mobile allows unlimited OTT communication including video 47

4.5. The rise of video communication . 48

4.5.1. Introduction . 48

4.5.2. Telco video communications . 48

4.5.3. OTT video communications 48

4.6. Genuinely free OTT offers in exchange of user data . 52

4.6.1. Introduction . 52

4.6.2. Free or low-cost OTT services 52

4.6.3. Advertising and data usage 53

Tables

Table 1: Communication providers aggregating communication types . 8

Table 2: Communication providers aggregating communication types 32

Figures

Figure 1: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 . 9

Figure 2: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 10

Figure 3: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5 2012-2020 10

Figure 4: Telco revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 11

Figure 5: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 14

Figure 6: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 15

Figure 7: Messaging users forecast by type of message, USA, 2012-2020 15

Figure 8: Messaging users forecast by type of message, EU5, 2012-2020 16

Figure 9: Number of messages sent forecast by type, USA, 2012-2020 16

Figure 10: Share of messages sent, USA, 2012 and 2020 17

Figure 11: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 17

Figure 12: Share of messages sent, EU5, 2012 and 2020 18

Figure 13: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, USA, 2012-2020 19

Figure 14: Total communication revenue share by market segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 19

Figure 15: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 20

Figure 16: Total communication revenue share by market segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 20

Figure 17: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 21

Figure 18: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA, 2012-

2020 21

Figure 19: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA,

2012-2020 22

Figure 20: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

USA, 2012-2020 . 22

Figure 21: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 23

Figure 22: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5, 2012-

2020 23

Figure 23: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5,

2012-2020 24

Figure 24: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

EU5, 2012-2020 . 24

Figure 25: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and messaging revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 25

Figure 26: Share of messaging revenue, USA, 2012 and 2020 . 25

Figure 27: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 26

Figure 28: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, USA, 2012 and 2020 26

Figure 29: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and mobile messaging revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 27

Figure 30: Share of messaging revenue, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 27

Figure 31: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 28

Figure 32: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, EU5, 2012 and 2020 28

Figure 33: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, USA, 2012-2020 . 29

Figure 34: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 29

Figure 35: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, USA, 2012-2020 30

Figure 36: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 30

Figure 37: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 31

Figure 38: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, EU5, 2012-2020 31

Figure 39: The new look of Facebook messages . 33

Figure 40: Bobsled, by T-Mobile, allows voice calls on Facebook chat . 33

Figure 41: Video-calling option within Facebook 34

Figure 42: FaceTime from Apple 36

Figure 43: Media Centre Cloud service by Deutsche Telekom 36

Figure 44: The TU Me app by Telefonica 37

Figure 45: Key features of the Bobsled app by T-Mobile USA 38

Figure 46: International Favourites, by O2 UK 38

Figure 47: The Skype-on-Three offer which incurs no data charges 39

Figure 48: Skype on KDDI 39

Figure 49: WhatsApp offering from Three Hong Kong 40

Figure 50: The 'joyn' service, led by the GSMA . 41

Figure 51: OEM ecosystem for joyn . 42

Figure 52: Orange France mobile plans offer unlimited calls and SMS in their cheapest plans . 44

Figure 53: BT offers unlimited calls (national) and Internet 44

Figure 54: Quadruple bundle from Orange, further commoditising voice and messaging . 45

Figure 55: Penetration of bundled services in European households . 46

Figure 56: A comparison of Sprint, AT&T and Verizon's smartphone data plan, by Sprint 47

Figure 57: Video call tariffs 48

Figure 58: A FaceTime video communication between an iPhone user and an iPad user 49

Figure 59: A Skype video communication using the Skype application . 49

Figure 60: An example of WebRTC integration for video calls on Google Chrome . 50

Figure 61: A GTalk video chat (using the Flash plug-in) 51

Figure 62: A Windows Live Messenger window with an ad at the bottom 52

Figure 63: Falcon Pro for Twitter sold inn the Google Play app store at 0.79 EUR 53

Figure 64: WhatsApp Messenger price information before downloading the app . 53

Figure 65: Facebook targeted advertising on the user's wall . 54

To order this report:: Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

Nicolas Bombourg
Reportlinker
Email: [email protected]
US: (805) 652-2626
Intl: +1 805-652-2626

SOURCE Reportlinker

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

@ThingsExpo Stories
SYS-CON Events announced today that AgilePoint, the leading provider of Microsoft-centric Business Process Management software, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 2nd International @ThingsExpo which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. AgilePoint is the leading provider of Microsoft-based Business Process Management (BPM) software products, has 1,300+ on-premise and cloud deployments in 25+ countries and provides the same advanced BPM feature set as J2EE vendors like IBM and Appian for the Microsoft .NET native environment. AgilePoint customer...
Samsung VP Jacopo Lenzi, who headed the company's recent SmartThings acquisition under the auspices of Samsung's Open Innovaction Center (OIC), answered a few questions we had about the deal. This interview was in conjunction with our interview with SmartThings CEO Alex Hawkinson. IoT Journal: SmartThings was developed in an open, standards-agnostic platform, and will now be part of Samsung's Open Innovation Center. Can you elaborate on your commitment to keep the platform open? Jacopo Lenzi: Samsung recognizes that true, accelerated innovation cannot be driven from one source, but requires a...
The Internet of Things will greatly expand the opportunities for data collection and new business models driven off of that data. In her session at Internet of @ThingsExpo, Esmeralda Swartz, CMO of MetraTech, will discuss how for this to be effective you not only need to have infrastructure and operational models capable of utilizing this new phenomenon, but increasingly service providers will need to convince a skeptical public to participate. Get ready to show them the money! Speaker Bio: Esmeralda Swartz, CMO of MetraTech, has spent 16 years as a marketing, product management, and busin...
SYS-CON Events announced today that TeleStax, the main sponsor of Mobicents, will exhibit at Internet of @ThingsExpo, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. TeleStax provides Open Source Communications software and services that facilitate the shift from legacy SS7 based IN networks to IP based LTE and IMS networks hosted on private (on-premise), hybrid or public clouds. TeleStax products include Restcomm, JSLEE, SMSC Gateway, USSD Gateway, SS7 Resource Adaptors, SIP Servlets, Rich Multimedia Services, Presence Services/RCS, Diame...
Things are being built upon cloud foundations to transform organizations. This CEO Power Panel at 15th Cloud Expo, moderated by Roger Strukhoff, Cloud Expo and @ThingsExpo conference chair, will address the big issues involving these technologies and, more important, the results they will achieve. How important are public, private, and hybrid cloud to the enterprise? How does one define Big Data? And how is the IoT tying all this together?
We certainly live in interesting technological times. And no more interesting than the current competing IoT standards for connectivity. Various standards bodies, approaches, and ecosystems are vying for mindshare and positioning for a competitive edge. It is clear that when the dust settles, we will have new protocols, evolved protocols, that will change the way we interact with devices and infrastructure. We will also have evolved web protocols, like HTTP/2, that will be changing the very core of our infrastructures. At the same time, we have old approaches made new again like micro-services...
The only place to be June 9-11 is Cloud Expo & @ThingsExpo 2015 East at the Javits Center in New York City. Join us there as delegates from all over the world come to listen to and engage with speakers & sponsors from the leading Cloud Computing, IoT & Big Data companies. Cloud Expo & @ThingsExpo are the leading events covering the booming market of Cloud Computing, IoT & Big Data for the enterprise. Speakers from all over the world will be hand-picked for their ability to explore the economic strategies that utility/cloud computing provides. Whether public, private, or in a hybrid form, clo...
SYS-CON Events announces a new pavilion on the Cloud Expo floor where WebRTC converges with the Internet of Things. Pavilion will showcase WebRTC and the Internet of Things. The Internet of Things (IoT) is the most profound change in personal and enterprise IT since the creation of the Worldwide Web more than 20 years ago. All major researchers estimate there will be tens of billions devices--computers, smartphones, tablets, and sensors – connected to the Internet by 2020. This number will continue to grow at a rapid pace for the next several decades.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Gridstore™, the leader in software-defined storage (SDS) purpose-built for Windows Servers and Hyper-V, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Gridstore™ is the leader in software-defined storage purpose built for virtualization that is designed to accelerate applications in virtualized environments. Using its patented Server-Side Virtual Controller™ Technology (SVCT) to eliminate the I/O blender effect and accelerate applications Gridsto...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Red Hat, the world's leading provider of open source solutions, will exhibit at Internet of @ThingsExpo, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Red Hat is the world's leading provider of open source software solutions, using a community-powered approach to reliable and high-performing cloud, Linux, middleware, storage and virtualization technologies. Red Hat also offers award-winning support, training, and consulting services. As the connective hub in a global network of enterprises, partners, a...
As the Internet of Things unfolds, mobile and wearable devices are blurring the line between physical and digital, integrating ever more closely with our interests, our routines, our daily lives. Contextual computing and smart, sensor-equipped spaces bring the potential to walk through a world that recognizes us and responds accordingly. We become continuous transmitters and receivers of data. In his session at Internet of @ThingsExpo, Andrew Bolwell, Director of Innovation for HP’s Printing and Personal Systems Group, will discuss how key attributes of mobile technology – touch input, senso...
The Internet of Things (IoT) is making everything it touches smarter – smart devices, smart cars and smart cities. And lucky us, we’re just beginning to reap the benefits as we work toward a networked society. However, this technology-driven innovation is impacting more than just individuals. The IoT has an environmental impact as well, which brings us to the theme of this month’s #IoTuesday Twitter chat. The ability to remove inefficiencies through connected objects is driving change throughout every sector, including waste management. BigBelly Solar, located just outside of Boston, is trans...
Connected devices and the Internet of Things are getting significant momentum in 2014. In his session at Internet of @ThingsExpo, Jim Hunter, Chief Scientist & Technology Evangelist at Greenwave Systems, will examine three key elements that together will drive mass adoption of the IoT before the end of 2015. The first element is the recent advent of robust open source protocols (like AllJoyn and WebRTC) that facilitate M2M communication. The second is broad availability of flexible, cost-effective storage designed to handle the massive surge in back-end data in a world where timely analytics...
Internet of @ThingsExpo Silicon Valley announced on Thursday its first 12 all-star speakers and sessions for its upcoming event, which will take place November 4-6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in California. @ThingsExpo, the first and largest IoT event in the world, debuted at the Javits Center in New York City in June 10-12, 2014 with over 6,000 delegates attending the conference. Among the first 12 announced world class speakers, IBM will present two highly popular IoT sessions, which will take place November 4-6, 2014 at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, Calif...
The Internet of Things (IoT) promises to evolve the way the world does business; however, understanding how to apply it to your company can be a mystery. Most people struggle with understanding the potential business uses or tend to get caught up in the technology, resulting in solutions that fail to meet even minimum business goals. In his session at Internet of @ThingsExpo, Jesse Shiah, CEO / President / Co-Founder of AgilePoint Inc., will show what is needed to leverage the IoT to transform your business. He will discuss opportunities and challenges ahead for the IoT from a market and tec...
From a software development perspective IoT is about programming "things," about connecting them with each other or integrating them with existing applications. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Yakov Fain, co-founder of Farata Systems and SuranceBay, will show you how small IoT-enabled devices from multiple manufacturers can be integrated into the workflow of an enterprise application. This is a practical demo of building a framework and components in HTML/Java/Mobile technologies to serve as a platform that can integrate new devices as they become available on the market.
SYS-CON Events announced today that O'Reilly Media has been named “Media Sponsor” of SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. O'Reilly Media spreads the knowledge of innovators through its books, online services, magazines, and conferences. Since 1978, O'Reilly Media has been a chronicler and catalyst of cutting-edge development, homing in on the technology trends that really matter and spurring their adoption by amplifying "faint signals" from the alpha geeks who are creating the future. An...
The Transparent Cloud-computing Consortium (abbreviation: T-Cloud Consortium) will conduct research activities into changes in the computing model as a result of collaboration between "device" and "cloud" and the creation of new value and markets through organic data processing High speed and high quality networks, and dramatic improvements in computer processing capabilities, have greatly changed the nature of applications and made the storing and processing of data on the network commonplace.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Aria Systems, the recurring revenue expert, has been named "Bronze Sponsor" of SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4-6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Aria Systems helps leading businesses connect their customers with the products and services they love. Industry leaders like Pitney Bowes, Experian, AAA NCNU, VMware, HootSuite and many others choose Aria to power their recurring revenue business and deliver exceptional experiences to their customers.
The Internet of Things (IoT) is going to require a new way of thinking and of developing software for speed, security and innovation. This requires IT leaders to balance business as usual while anticipating for the next market and technology trends. Cloud provides the right IT asset portfolio to help today’s IT leaders manage the old and prepare for the new. Today the cloud conversation is evolving from private and public to hybrid. This session will provide use cases and insights to reinforce the value of the network in helping organizations to maximize their company’s cloud experience.